Tuesday, June 12, 2007

Liberals ahead by 3% Nationally!

CTV.ca | Liberals take three-point lead over Tories: poll

Interesting. Now, while it is within the margin of error of the poll, 3% +/-, the regional numbers are more troubling for the Tories.
Because of small regional sample sizes, Decima averages results over three weeks of polling. The latest averages suggest the Liberals were six percentage points ahead of the Tories in Atlantic Canada -- 37-31 -- with the NDP at 20 per cent and the Greens at nine.

The poll also put the Liberals ahead in Ontario, 39-33, and had the Bloc rebounding in Quebec to 38 per cent, followed by the Liberals at 23 and the Conservatives at 16 per cent.

Again, the margin of error regionally is even bigger at 6% but, those are telling margins in Atlantic Canada and Quebec for sure. Ontario still looks like a dead-heat.

Looks like Dion is within striking distance... I say that because the summer BBQ circuit can do wonders for image and connections with the grassroots.

A.L.

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