Wednesday, May 18, 2005

New Poll Numbers

CTV.ca | Poll finds Liberal support edges ahead of Tories

New poll conducted by the Strategic Counsel, I believe that is Allan Gregg's organization, confirms the suggestion that the Liberal support has rebounded in recent days.

It shows the Liberals gaining 6% since their last poll to 33% nationally, with the Conservatives dropping one to 30%.

Again what is most striking are the numbers in Ontario. Liberal support is at 43% (up 9 points) and Conservative support has slumped to 30% (down 5 points).

In Quebec the Bloc is down 8 points to 48%, the Liberals have rebounded 9 points and are at 25%, and the Conservatives have also jumped 6 points to 14%.

The sample size was 50% larger than most polls, getting responses from 1500 Canadians, and they are claiming its accuracy as +-2.5%. The poll was conducted May 12-15.

The date is significant, and could explain some of the Bloc's drop-off in support. This was conducted after the release of the questionable report published by separatist academics suggesting that Quebec would be in much better economic health as a sovereign nation. This report was widely criticized pointing to the political agenda of the academic and their BQ/PQ backers. Perhaps le citoyen de Quebec are wising up and finding a better place to park their anger-votes?

A.L.

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